On the Monty Hall Problem

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On the Monty Hall Problem:
Being a Sonnet for Thomas Bayes
in Envelope Form, with an Epilogue

Behind two doors there is a goat.
Behind one other is a blonde.
You pick door Three. I show you One
and ask,You want to change your vote?

This problem's not a simple one.
Each door was one-third chance at start.
That One is goat seems quite apart
from changing anything now,hmm?

If you think that, though, you are wrong,
and need to read your Reverend Bayes,
who showed how knowledge makes a change
and switching choice the stratagem
that gives by far the best of ways
to pick the blonde you can arrange.

Epilogue

If you trust neither head nor heart,
instead research the problem, then
you've two-thirds chance, which would be smart
to find a wife, not heaven-sent,
but one who's reasoned out instead.
So win! and take her straight to bed.

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3 Comments
AmyfriendAmyfriendabout 17 years ago
::

Deal or No Deal...Howie was heard to say in the background

AnonymousAnonymousabout 17 years ago
choices

Some people pick flowers ~ other's pick a mate. And therein lies a poem.

LeBrozLeBrozabout 17 years ago
~~

Saw this on the 30/30 and it's just as witty now as then; just wish they'd posted it this morning.

And look, gasp, it's not a form poem!

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